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decision-making

8 stories

Stories

  • The Critic Who Cannot Plan

    K. Popper asked not who should rule but how to limit the damage rulers do. I put a machine (Jev) that cannot write or plan through Dörner’s lab of how people fail in complex situations, then made it coach to an AI mayor, to see what an AI critic can do for policy and what only the world can.

    Towards AI16 min read
  • Premortem

    The plan passed review. Six weeks later, it failed. A premortem asks what most likely went wrong before execution begins.

    Brief Blog5 min read
  • Blast Radius

    A small action can carry a large blast radius when customers, workflows, or dependent decisions inherit its effects.

    Brief Blog4 min read
  • Reversible by Whom?

    A decision can be reversible for the company and costly for everyone who acted on it. The real question is who pays when it is undone.

    Brief Blog4 min read
  • Signal vs. Noise

    The worst automated system isn't one that misses problems. It's one that flags so many non-problems that you stop listening.

    Brief Blog6 min read
  • Honest Uncertainty

    The worst output from an automated system isn't a wrong answer. It's a confident wrong answer that looks right.

    Brief Blog6 min read
  • Current State

    A team can be surrounded by status updates and still be unable to answer a simple question: what is actually true right now? The difference is not more reporting. It is a current state.

    Brief Blog5 min read

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