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The following is an investigation into an interesting mathematical object I stumbled upon when reading a General Relativity textbook.Defining the spacetime:A static universe in which space is hyperbolic can be described by the metric: mjx-container[jax="CHTML"] { line-height: 0; } mjx-container…
(this is a lightly edited linkpost for the LessWrong audience - full piece is here and goes into implications for AVs and humanoid robots.)Last year, I wrote “Safety Without Understanding,” a piece exploring how Waymo safely rolled out autonomous driving systems without a deep mechanistic…
Epistemic status: Feeling frustrated, and therefore somewhat uncharitable.I’m very frustrated with calls for people to “drop everything and pivot into AI safety” like this one.
AI researchers hate this one weird modest proposal.One of the known security risks for the AI labs is that they are chock full of high-risk insider threats.
An introduction and reading list on how incentives, expectations, and political conditions shape participation in collective action.Mancur Olson (1965). The Logic of Collective Action: Public Goods and the Theory of Groups.Pamela E. Oliver and Gerald Marwell (1988).
Multi-Agent swarms are important for two reasons:They are probably much faster and somewhat more capable than single agents (Capability)Multi-agent alignment is a different beast than single-agent alignment (Propensity)The fact that recent incidents (and some achievements) are predominantly swarms…
Thanks to Davide Crapis, Angelo Huang, and Philip Torr for their feedback.ES: I'm attempting to name a design space precisely enough to argue with. I'm confident that the class exists and is under-invested, but my personal beliefs might also make me too focused on some theories of change (i.e.,…
Epistemic status: I am not a subject-matter expert in any of the fields in this article. The following is speculation, albeit I think reasonable speculation.
That moment is over now. Such euphoria and now I'm back at the house and it's all but a memory. Already gone in an instant. The only way I can immortalize it is by writing these words.
TL;DRThe autoreconstructor (AR) in a natural language autoencoder (NLA) is the entire argument for the validity of the method, and at present is poorly understood.The AR does not condition strongly on English grammar or semantics.
Link to original article: https://newsletter.semianalysis.com/p/beijing-will-not-pace-the-frontierInflammatory & clickbaity title aside, it serves as a good attempt at systematically investigating the status quo of Chinese attitudes towards AI safety and development.Some key diagrams that I find…
Lately I’ve been writing a lot about the sociopolitical considerations that economic-style reasoning misses. I view this work as continuous with my agent foundations research; in this post, I lay out some of the connections I see between sociology and agent foundations.
Epistemic status: Confident in the direction and approximate size. The effects are large and all 7 monitors moved the same way. Physics only, natural (non-adversarial) errors, one fixed group of monitors.This is a follow up to The Answer is Not the Argument which covered the observational results.
It often happens that I desire kale, but I want it to be clean and cut up, and while shops do sell this product by the bucketload, they are actually only willing to sell it by the bucketload.
It’s not always better to be more capable. As I mentioned yesterday, it can (famously) be helpful in negotiations to have your hands tied. That is, to be disempowered from giving up everything the other party wants.I had previously thought of this as a somewhat rare corner case of human behavior—I…
TL;DR: A safety case for scheming must be able to substantiate these four key claims: scheming was not incentivized during training, strong evaluations and red teaming suggest that the model does not have a propensity to scheme, scheming was never attempted during internal deployment, and scheming…
Summary: Science has a long list of documented failure modes, such as p-hacking, the File Drawer Problem, shallow peer review, and ignored retractions. This post catalogs about 50 of them with the evidence for each, then predicts how each will change once we have full AI researchers.
It’s October, so it’s time for color frequency statistics on the spring/summer fashion ready-to-wear collections!Previous entries: FW26, SS26, FW25, SS25, FW24, SS24.My methodology hasn’t changed — it’s still automatic color scoring using the same script, using a call to GPT-4o.
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