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  • Minimum required pacing: finish aligning it before you train the next one

    Let's say we coordinate to pace the frontier, but we don't coordinate on an outright pause. What should the standard of pacing be?My proposal for a minimum requirement: a lab cannot train the next generation of models (in terms of capabilities) until they have adequately[1] resolved all significant…

    Alignment Forum6 min read
  • Endogenous Alignment Requires Dependence

    My post on endogenous alignment got several excellent comments. Among them, one from Karl Krueger argued that imitation learning is more important for how humans align their children than reinforcement learning.

    Alignment Forum3 min read
  • Fixed-weight models are adversarially vulnerable: hence misaligned

    This post argues that fixed-weight models (at least as we understand them today) will a) always be vulnerable to adversarial examples in their concept-spaces, and b) hence will be misaligned, under sufficient optimisation pressure.Boundaries in concept spaceTo serve any purpose whatsoever, an AI…

    Alignment Forum6 min read
  • Continual learning might make your blocking monitors nearly useless

    Many control protocols work by intervening on an untrusted AI's actions during deployment. For example, you might set up a monitor that scores each action's suspiciousness and blocks actions above a threshold, replacing them with actions from a weaker "trusted" model (a defer-to-trusted protocol).

    Alignment Forum18 min read
  • Why I'm scared of RL

    Summary:First, I give several different angles on how I feel about reinforcement learning:Theoretical case: RL is a black-box source of agency — this should give us classic misalignment worries, especially compared to agency-via-scaffoldingRecent incidents (huggingface etc) and more mundane forms…

    Alignment Forum14 min read
  • Stringological sequence prediction III

    In previous papers (Kosoy 2026a,b), we began the study of sequence prediction algorithms adapted to stringological word complexity measures. In particular, we defined a complexity measure called Arithmetic Repetition Complexity (ARC) which admits a polynomial-time prediction algorithm with a…

    Alignment Forum1 min read
  • A Defense of Gradual Disempowerment

    (Or: Why Bentham's Bulldog and John Halstead are wrong in their critique of Kulveit et al.)Gradual Disempowerment is a 2025 paper (with a nice, dedicated website) proposing a form of existential risk from AI that goes beyond "mundane" risks like bioweapon uplift or mainline misaligned-AI-takeover…

    Alignment Forum8 min read
  • CoT controllability evals seem very under-elicited

    The CoTControl eval asks reasoning models to follow formatting constraints in their chain-of-thought (e.g. write in all lowercase, avoid a specific word) while solving questions. Models seem to mostly be pretty bad at this: recent models score between 0-30% with the exception of Mythos Preview[1].

    Alignment Forum10 min read

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